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Music And Song

3yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 45

Ffos Las · Alex And Salvo Welcome You To The Bridge Handicap · 6f

#8

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Poor ex-Irish maiden who is yet to offer much in a handful of 6f handicaps for new yard in recent weeks. Easy to look elsewhere.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength51%

What the class read says

Favourable class profile — form adjusted for the quality of opposition looks competitive here. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 7.8)

Highest class: BHA40
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Dundalk 01/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 1m2f150y Std 1291/04C8BHA48 @ Sligo 03/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 48 · 1m2f158y Sft 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/05/2026 · OR 48 parBHA44 @ Gowran Park 01/06/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 44 · 1m1f120y Yie 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/06/2026 · OR 44 par1/0644OR 44C8 @ Ballinrobe 22/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 40 · 1m1f163y Yie 130 · beat its mark22/06/2026 · OR 40 parC7 @ Fairyhouse 08/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 40 · 1m2f Goo 122 · beat its mark08/07/2026 · OR 40 par8/07C7OR 40BHA40 @ Ballinrobe 20/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 40 · 1m1f135y Goo 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/07/2026 · OR 40 par6 @ Lingfield 08/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 39 · 6f1y Std 131 · beat its mark08/08/2026 · OR 39 par8/086OR 396 @ Chepstow 09/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 45 · 6f16y GF 126 · beat its mark09/08/2026 · OR 45 par6 @ Southwell 22/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 45 · 6f16y Std 121 · beat its mark22/09/2026 · OR 45 par22/096OR 45projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-22Southwell66th6th0
2026-08-09Chepstow66th6th0
2026-08-08Lingfield69th9th0
2026-07-20BallinrobeBHA408th6th+2
2026-07-08Fairyhouse?5th6th−1
2026-06-22Ballinrobe?4th6th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0422/068/0822/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 3-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength43%

Delivery trend -0.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/04/20269th400/10%0%0.00
03/05/20266th50/10%38%+0.38
01/06/202612th50/10%15%+0.15
22/06/20264th66/10%50%+0.50
08/07/20265th80/10%50%+0.50
20/07/20268th14/126%13%-0.14
08/08/20269th100/10%11%+0.11
09/08/20266th9/153%29%-0.24
22/09/20266th80/10%55%+0.55