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3yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 50
Ffos Las · Alex And Salvo Welcome You To The Bridge Handicap · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 6.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-25 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-03 | Southwell | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-10-14 | Leicester | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-10-02 | Chelmsford City | 5 | +1 | ||
| 2025-09-12 | Chester | 5 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +12.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09/2025 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 14/10/2025 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 03/11/2025 | 6th | 150/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 25/11/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |