The Bear Of Saints
4yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 54
Ffos Las · Alex And Salvo Welcome You To The Bridge Handicap · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 6.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Windsor | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Leicester | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Chepstow | 6 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2024-09-04 | Bath | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2024-08-14 | Salisbury | 4 | 12th | 10th | +2 |
| 2024-07-12 | Chepstow | 5 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -6.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06/2024 | 4th | 66/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 12/07/2024 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 88% | +0.51 |
| 14/08/2024 | 12th | 125/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/09/2024 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 06/06/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 14/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 60% | +0.07 |
| 24/08/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |