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2

Blondie Larry

2yo Colt · 9-7 · OR 73

Ffos Las · Bridge, The Home Of The Carvery Nursery · 5f

#5

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

€50,000 Showcasing colt who ran to a similar level when runner-up in 5f novices at Windsor/Chepstow earlier this month. Now switches to handicap following 10 weeks away and his opening mark demands a bit more.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength16%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Nottingham 11/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 5f8y GS 13311/0655 @ Windsor 27/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 5f21y Goo 13327/0654 @ Chepstow 16/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 5f16y GF 133 · HIGHER CLASS16/074projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-16Chepstow42nd1st+1
2026-06-27Windsor52nd2nd0
2026-06-11Nottingham55th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0627/0616/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength87%

Delivery trend -2.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/06/20265th9/153%50%-0.03
27/06/20262nd14/126%86%+0.59
16/07/20262nd5/696%88%-0.08