Naval Cop
2yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 65
Ffos Las · Bridge, The Home Of The Carvery Nursery · 5f
#1
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
85%
Place Prob
61%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Chester | 3 | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-08-31 | Chepstow | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-26 | Pontefract | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-10 | York | 2 | 6th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-06-13 | Bath | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +24.4% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |
| 10/07/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 29% | -0.37 |
| 26/07/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 20% | -0.41 |
| 31/08/2026 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |
| 12/09/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 75% | +0.17 |