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4

Niewiadoma

2yo Filly · 9-7 · OR 73

Ffos Las · Bridge, The Home Of The Carvery Nursery · 5f

#8

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Highly tried on the back of her first-time-out success at Thirsk in the spring. Sights lowered and looked ready for return to 5f when 2¾ lengths fourth of 7 in a Redcar seller (6f, 5/1) last time. Will need to bounce back to her debut form to make an impact off her opening mark, though.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼3
Strength98%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 12.3)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.2
Today: 5
Class gap: +2.8
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Thirsk 18/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 5f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS18/0441 @ York 15/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 5f Gd 126 · HIGHER CLASS15/0511 @ Royal Ascot 17/06/2026 · Pos 25th of 27 · OR - · 5f GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS17/0612 @ Newbury 18/07/2026 · Pos 17th of 24 · OR 79 · 5f34y GF 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/07/2026 · OR 79 par18/072OR 792 @ York 20/08/2026 · Pos 18th of 20 · OR 78 · 6f GS 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/08/2026 · OR 78 par20/082OR 784 @ Redcar 15/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 75 · 5f217y Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/09/2026 · OR 75 par15/094OR 75projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-15Redcar44th3rd+1
2026-08-20York218th14th+3
2026-07-18Newbury217th13th+3
2026-06-17Royal Ascot125th20th+5
2026-05-15York19th4th+4
2026-04-18Thirsk41st0th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0415/0517/0618/0720/0815/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength43%

Delivery trend -1.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/04/20261st6/168%100%+0.32
15/05/20269th5/174%11%-0.63
17/06/202625th100/10%8%+0.08
18/07/202617th50/10%30%+0.30
20/08/202618th150/10%11%+0.11
15/09/20264th5/174%50%-0.24