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Rhodes Runner

2yo Filly · 9-9 · OR 75

Ffos Las · Bridge, The Home Of The Carvery Nursery · 5f

#3

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

4%

Place Prob

13%

Rank

#3

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Found improvement faced with heavy ground for the first time at Chester 8 days ago, readily winning a 6f novice in good style. She isn't fully exposed under these conditions and may well follow up back in a nursery.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength64%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Salisbury 03/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 5f GF 123 · HIGHER CLASS3/0522 @ Doncaster 06/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 6f111y GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS5 @ Kempton 02/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 75 · 7f Sta 135 · beat its mark02/07/2026 · OR 75 par2/075OR 754 @ Doncaster 23/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 77 · 6f111y GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/07/2026 · OR 77 par4 @ Newmarket 08/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 76 · 7f GF 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/08/2026 · OR 76 par8/084OR 765 @ Ffos Las 27/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 74 · 6f Gd 135 · beat its mark27/08/2026 · OR 74 par4 @ Wolverhampton 07/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 72 · 5f21y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/09/2026 · OR 72 par7/094OR 724 @ Chester 19/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 71 · 6f17y Hvy 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/09/2026 · OR 71 par19/094OR 71projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-19Chester41st0th+1
2026-09-07Wolverhampton42nd1st+1
2026-08-27Ffos Las54th4th0
2026-08-08Newmarket46th5th+1
2026-07-23Doncaster44th3rd+1
2026-07-02Kempton52nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0523/077/0919/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength93%

Delivery trend +8.0% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/05/20264th1/195%40%-0.55
06/06/20263rd11/486%60%-0.26
02/07/20262nd15/890%86%-0.04
23/07/20264th13/266%25%-0.41
08/08/20266th20/10%17%+0.17
27/08/20264th4/179%50%-0.29
07/09/20262nd3/184%83%-0.01
19/09/20261st5/174%100%+0.26