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4

Bama Lama

8yo Mare · 9-4 · OR 45

Ffos Las · Bridge, Family Run And Proud Handicap · 5f

#1

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

98%

Place Prob

83%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Quirky C&D winner. Tumbled in weights since last win in October 2024. Friendless in the betting/hasn't fired this season, latterly 6¾ lengths behind Call Time here (6f, soft, 33/1) last Monday. Could be worth a chance in first-time blinkers with Saffie Osborne taking over, especially if supported.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Ffos Las 16/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 52 · 5f Goo 128 · beat its mark16/07/2025 · OR 52 par16/076OR 526 @ Windsor 26/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 50 · 6f12y Goo 130 · beat its mark26/07/2025 · OR 50 par6 @ Lingfield 09/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 48 · 6f Goo 135 · beat its mark09/08/2025 · OR 48 par9/086OR 486 @ Ffos Las 09/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 45 · 6f Hvy 121 · beat its mark09/09/2025 · OR 45 par6 @ Bath 14/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 45 · 5f10y Hvy 126 · beat its mark14/09/2025 · OR 45 par14/096OR 456 @ Chepstow 15/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 45 · 6f16y Gd 121 · beat its mark15/06/2026 · OR 45 par6 @ Chepstow 03/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 42 · 5f16y Goo 135 · beat its mark03/07/2026 · OR 42 par3/076OR 426 @ Windsor 07/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 45 · 5f21y Goo 127 · beat its mark07/09/2026 · OR 45 par6 @ Ffos Las 21/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 45 · 6f Sft 121 · beat its mark21/09/2026 · OR 45 par21/096OR 45projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-21Ffos Las66th6th0
2026-09-07Windsor69th9th0
2026-07-03Chepstow66th6th0
2026-06-15Chepstow66th6th0
2025-09-14Bath66th6th0
2025-09-09Ffos Las67th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/079/093/0721/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 575% of fieldRange 3-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength24%

Delivery trend +6.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 5. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/07/20254th13/266%50%-0.16
26/07/20256th6/168%44%-0.24
09/08/20254th7/282%50%-0.32
09/09/20257th13/266%25%-0.41
14/09/20256th7/282%38%-0.44
15/06/20266th25/10%17%+0.17
03/07/20266th16/116%29%+0.13
07/09/20269th28/10%20%+0.20
21/09/20266th33/10%17%+0.17