1
Call Time
5yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 50
Ffos Las · Bridge, Family Run And Proud Handicap · 5f
#3
Rank
Odds
13/8
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#3
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength32%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Ffos Las | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-09-02 | Bath | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Ffos Las | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Bath | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Chepstow | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | Bath | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength82%
Delivery trend +2.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 5. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10/2025 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 29% | -0.50 |
| 30/10/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 08/11/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 05/04/2026 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 25% | -0.33 |
| 06/06/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 25% | -0.46 |
| 13/06/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 62% | +0.14 |
| 28/08/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 02/09/2026 | 5th | 6/4 | 92% | 43% | -0.49 |
| 21/09/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |