1

Fourth Crusade

2yo Colt · 9-7

Ffos Las · Celebrate In Style At The Bridge Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f 80y

#5

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Bred for further and was never on terms making his first start when ninth of 10 in novice at Epsom (7f) 17 days ago. Looks one for the longer term.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 9.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Epsom Downs 10/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 7f3y Goo 13310/093
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10Epsom Downs39th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 7-12 · 50%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength19%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 5. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/09/20269th18/15%11%+0.06