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2

Ghost Raider

2yo Colt · 9-7 · OR 77

Ffos Las · Celebrate In Style At The Bridge Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f 80y

#1

Rank

Odds

6/4

Win Prob

99%

Place Prob

87%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Has shaped encouragingly when making the frame both starts so far, still looking in need of the experience when fourth of 11 in maiden at York 3 weeks ago. Remains capable of better.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength40%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Kempton 05/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 7f Sta 1335/0832 @ York 06/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 7f GS 133 · HIGHER CLASS6/092projClass-projected finish: 1st of 2
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06York24th3rd+1
2026-08-05Kempton32nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/086/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 5100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength100%

Delivery trend +0.1% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 5.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/08/20262nd11/271%86%+0.15
06/09/20264th17/255%70%+0.15