9

Grand Vista
3yo Colt · 9-0 · OR 53
Ffos Las · Bridge, For All Family Occasions Handicap (Div 1) · 1m
#10
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength38%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Chepstow | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-08-04 | Ffos Las | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Chepstow | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Salisbury | 6 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -1.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10/2025 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |
| 19/11/2025 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 56% | -0.31 |
| 11/05/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 64% | +0.37 |
| 09/06/2026 | 11th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 08/07/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 21/07/2026 | 8th | 3/1 | 84% | 22% | -0.62 |
| 04/08/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |
| 06/08/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 17% | -0.57 |
| 26/08/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 36% | -0.00 |