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Prince Ali

8yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 57

Ffos Las · Bridge, For All Family Occasions Handicap (Div 1) · 1m

#3

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Dual winner at Chepstow this year, landing a 9-runner 0-55 handicap in June and a 7f similar event there in August, beating Escape Magic by 2¾ lengths on latest. Up 6 lb and now back at 1m, but looks sure to give another good account.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength39%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Wolverhampton 02/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 59 · 1m1f104y Std 134 · beat its mark02/01/2026 · OR 59 par2/016OR 596 @ Wolverhampton 16/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 57 · 1m1f104y Std 130 · below its mark16/01/2026 · OR 57 par6 @ Wolverhampton 16/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 55 · 7f36y Std 135 · beat its mark16/02/2026 · OR 55 par16/026OR 556 @ Wolverhampton 06/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 53 · 1m142y Std 128 · beat its mark06/04/2026 · OR 53 par6 @ Wolverhampton 05/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 52 · 1m142y Std 132 · beat its mark05/05/2026 · OR 52 par5/056OR 526 @ Chepstow 06/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 46 · 1m14y Sft 126 · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 46 par6 @ Chepstow 24/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 49 · 1m14y GF 135 · beat its mark24/07/2026 · OR 49 par24/076OR 496 @ Lingfield 11/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 54 · 7f1y Std 134 · beat its mark11/08/2026 · OR 54 par6 @ Chepstow 31/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 51 · 7f16y Goo 131 · beat its mark31/08/2026 · OR 51 par31/086OR 51projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Chepstow61st1st0
2026-08-11Lingfield69th9th0
2026-07-24Chepstow62nd2nd0
2026-06-06Chepstow61st1st0
2026-05-05Wolverhampton66th6th0
2026-04-06Wolverhampton63rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/016/0424/0731/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength100%

Delivery trend -0.6% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/01/20267th25/10%25%+0.25
16/01/20268th33/10%13%+0.13
16/02/20267th25/10%33%+0.33
06/04/20263rd18/15%67%+0.61
05/05/20266th9/276%29%-0.48
06/06/20261st18/15%100%+0.95
24/07/20262nd11/271%89%+0.18
11/08/20269th10/147%11%-0.36
31/08/20261st10/147%100%+0.53