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Rosemary's Rose

4yo Filly · 9-9 · OR 58

Ffos Las · Bridge, For All Family Occasions Handicap (Div 1) · 1m

#1

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

96%

Place Prob

76%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Dual 1m all-weather winner over the winter. Has largely been running well whilst proving expensive to follow of late, 1½ lengths third of 8 to Kaleidoscope Eyes in handicap (evens) at this track (7.5f) last month, but then disappointed in 7f event at Chepstow last time. Return to 1m should suit.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength41%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Lingfield 20/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 57 · 1m1y Std 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/03/2026 · OR 57 par20/035OR 576 @ Nottingham 08/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR 57 · 1m75y Goo 127 · beat its mark08/04/2026 · OR 57 par6 @ Lingfield 20/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 57 · 1m1y Std 153 · beat its mark20/04/2026 · OR 57 par20/046OR 576 @ Bath 22/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 56 · 1m Goo 127 · beat its mark22/05/2026 · OR 56 par6 @ Wolverhampton 01/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 56 · 7f36y Std 131 · beat its mark01/06/2026 · OR 56 par1/066OR 566 @ Ffos Las 17/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 57 · 1m Sft 139 · beat its mark17/06/2026 · OR 57 par6 @ Lingfield 13/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 59 · 7f2y Std 129 · beat its mark13/07/2026 · OR 59 par13/076OR 596 @ Ffos Las 04/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 59 · 7f80y Gd 136 · beat its mark04/08/2026 · OR 59 par6 @ Chepstow 29/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 59 · 7f16y Goo 129 · beat its mark29/08/2026 · OR 59 par29/086OR 59projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Chepstow65th5th0
2026-08-04Ffos Las63rd3rd0
2026-07-13Lingfield63rd3rd0
2026-06-17Ffos Las62nd2nd0
2026-06-01Wolverhampton62nd2nd0
2026-05-22Bath66th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0322/0513/0729/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength35%

Delivery trend -1.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/03/20262nd7/491%80%-0.11
08/04/20269th9/276%43%-0.33
20/04/20265th8/158%60%+0.02
22/05/20266th11/271%50%-0.21
01/06/20262nd13/266%90%+0.24
17/06/20262nd9/488%75%-0.13
13/07/20263rd5/287%78%-0.09
04/08/20263rd1/195%71%-0.23
29/08/20265th3/184%43%-0.41