4

Benavente

8yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 56

Ffos Las · Bridge, For All Family Occasions Handicap (Div 2) · 1m

#8

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★ Timeform

Commentary

Won a claimer in March at Dundalk on all-weather but little promise on turf either start since joining this yard.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength39%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C6.5
Today: 6
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA73 @ Dundalk 16/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 73 · 2m Std 143 · below its mark16/01/2026 · OR 73 par16/0173OR 73C8 @ Dundalk 13/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 72 · 1m Std 132 · below its mark13/02/2026 · OR 72 parBHA70 @ Dundalk 20/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 70 · 1m4f Std 130 · below its mark20/02/2026 · OR 70 par20/0270OR 70BHA69 @ Dundalk 27/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 69 · 1m4f Std 139 · beat its mark27/02/2026 · OR 69 parC8 @ Dundalk 13/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 72 · 1m2f150y Std 142 · below its mark13/03/2026 · OR 72 par13/03C8OR 72BHA72 @ Dundalk 20/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 72 · 1m4f Std 128 · below its mark20/03/2026 · OR 72 parC7 @ Dundalk 27/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 71 · 7f Std 132 · beat its mark27/03/2026 · OR 71 par27/03C7OR 716 @ Chepstow 18/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 59 · 6f16y GF 130 · below its mark18/08/2026 · OR 59 par5 @ Goodwood 08/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 59 · 1m1f197y Sft 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/09/2026 · OR 59 par8/095OR 59projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Goodwood59th8th+1
2026-08-18Chepstow610th10th0
2026-03-27Dundalk?1st2nd−1
2026-03-20DundalkBHA728th9th−1
2026-03-13Dundalk?3rd5th−2
2026-02-27DundalkBHA692nd3rd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0127/0227/038/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength17%

Delivery trend +1.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/01/20267th12/137%33%-0.04
13/02/20266th10/147%55%+0.07
20/02/20264th10/147%67%+0.19
27/02/20262nd8/158%92%+0.34
13/03/20263rd4/179%60%-0.19
20/03/20268th20/10%0%0.00
27/03/20261st10/147%100%+0.53
18/08/202610th100/10%0%0.00
08/09/20269th150/10%11%+0.11