5

Desiderata
6yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 55
Ffos Las · Bridge, For All Family Occasions Handicap (Div 2) · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength50%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Nottingham | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Lingfield | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-16 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-02 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-23 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength51%
Delivery trend -3.5% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/01/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 88% | +0.19 |
| 26/01/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 78% | +0.36 |
| 13/02/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 90% | +0.19 |
| 23/02/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 88% | +0.09 |
| 02/03/2026 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 17% | -0.70 |
| 16/03/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 25/03/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 78% | -0.10 |
| 18/04/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 26/08/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 64% | -0.10 |