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8

Marisitta

6yo Mare · 9-1 · OR 50

Ffos Las · Bridge, For All Family Occasions Handicap (Div 2) · 1m

#5

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Off the mark at Chepstow over 6f in June but has an inconsistent profile. Creditable second of 11 in handicap over 7f at same track 27 days ago but needs to prove herself as well suited by this step back up to 1m on soft going.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength47%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Wolverhampton 06/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 44 · 7f36y Std 135 · beat its mark06/02/2026 · OR 44 par6/026OR 446 @ Wolverhampton 23/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 45 · 7f36y Std 126 · beat its mark23/02/2026 · OR 45 par6 @ Wolverhampton 17/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 42 · 1m1f104y Std 135 · beat its mark17/03/2026 · OR 42 par17/036OR 426 @ Chepstow 06/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 45 · 1m14y Sft 126 · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 45 par6 @ Chepstow 27/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 45 · 6f16y GF 126 · beat its mark27/06/2026 · OR 45 par27/066OR 456 @ Leicester 14/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 50 · 6f GF 135 · beat its mark14/07/2026 · OR 50 par6 @ Chepstow 09/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 50 · 6f16y GF 128 · beat its mark09/08/2026 · OR 50 par9/086OR 506 @ Chepstow 18/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 50 · 6f16y GF 121 · beat its mark18/08/2026 · OR 50 par6 @ Chepstow 31/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 50 · 7f16y Goo 130 · beat its mark31/08/2026 · OR 50 par31/086OR 50projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Chepstow62nd2nd0
2026-08-18Chepstow64th4th0
2026-08-09Chepstow62nd2nd0
2026-07-14Leicester65th5th0
2026-06-27Chepstow61st1st0
2026-06-06Chepstow66th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/026/069/0831/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength96%

Delivery trend -1.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/02/20264th22/10%63%+0.63
23/02/20267th50/10%25%+0.25
17/03/20265th18/15%33%+0.28
06/06/20266th9/153%38%-0.15
27/06/20261st18/15%100%+0.95
14/07/20265th4/179%60%-0.19
09/08/20262nd11/271%83%+0.12
18/08/20264th14/126%67%+0.40
31/08/20262nd9/153%90%+0.37