Naval Ensign
4yo Filly · 9-8 · OR 57
Ffos Las · Bridge, For All Family Occasions Handicap (Div 2) · 1m
#10
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 6.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | Bath | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-13 | Bath | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-31 | Lingfield | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-01-07 | Lingfield | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-03 | Lingfield | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-17 | Lingfield | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +6.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 70% | -0.01 |
| 29/10/2025 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 45% | +0.03 |
| 25/11/2025 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 18% | -0.29 |
| 17/12/2025 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 38% | -0.31 |
| 03/01/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 07/01/2026 | 5th | 15/8 | 90% | 33% | -0.57 |
| 31/01/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 13/06/2026 | 4th | 66/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 01/07/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |