3

Revich
10yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 56
Ffos Las · Bridge, For All Family Occasions Handicap (Div 2) · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength57%
What the class read says
Favourable class profile — form adjusted for the quality of opposition looks competitive here. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Bath | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Ffos Las | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Nottingham | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Bath | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Bath | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Windsor | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength24%
Delivery trend +1.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/02/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 29% | -0.50 |
| 23/03/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 63% | -0.26 |
| 08/04/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 64% | +0.27 |
| 04/05/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 17% | -0.49 |
| 05/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 75% | +0.04 |
| 13/06/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 63% | -0.24 |
| 17/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 27/08/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 12/09/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 17% | -0.57 |