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2

Georg Zhukov

4yo Gelding · 11-3 · OR 49

Ffos Las · Bridge Llangennech Open Daily Amateur Jockeys' Handicap · 1m 2f

#3

Rank

Odds

11/4

Win Prob

17%

Place Prob

18%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Off the mark over 1m at Dundalk in January. Went into his shell after for Eamonn O'Connell and having been well backed, he didn't revive on stable debut when fourth over 1m here last week (behind Wellwhatshappenin). Back up in distance.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength43%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.8)

Highest class: BHA51
Recent avg: C6.4
Today: 6
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Dundalk 12/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 51 · 1m Std 122 · below its mark12/11/2025 · OR 51 par12/11C8OR 51BHA51 @ Dundalk 26/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 51 · 1m Std 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/11/2025 · OR 51 parBHA51 @ Dundalk 09/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 51 · 1m Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/01/2026 · OR 51 par9/0151OR 51BHA58 @ Dundalk 06/02/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 58 · 1m Std 140 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/02/2026 · OR 58 parBHA57 @ Dundalk 20/03/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR 57 · 7f Std 139 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/03/2026 · OR 57 par20/0357OR 57C8 @ Cork 05/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 2m70y Yie 161BHA55 @ Gowran Park 25/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR 55 · 1m1f110y Goo 137 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 55 par25/0755OR 55BHA53 @ Gowran Park 12/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR 53 · 1m1f100y GF 135 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/08/2026 · OR 53 par6 @ Ffos Las 21/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 49 · 1m Sft 129 · beat its mark21/09/2026 · OR 49 par21/096OR 49projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-21Ffos Las64th4th0
2026-08-12Gowran ParkBHA539th8th+1
2026-07-25Gowran ParkBHA555th4th+1
2026-07-10Kilbeggan?−2
2026-04-05Cork?5th7th−2
2026-03-20DundalkBHA5710th10th+0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/116/0225/0721/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength100%

Delivery trend -0.1% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 2nd of 6.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/11/20258th28/10%46%+0.46
26/11/20252nd13/266%92%+0.27
09/01/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
06/02/202612th15/261%15%-0.45
20/03/202610th12/137%31%-0.06
05/04/20265th80/10%71%+0.71
25/07/20265th50/10%67%+0.67
12/08/20269th28/10%47%+0.47
21/09/20264th7/282%57%-0.24