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4

Pride Eye

4yo Filly · 11-1 · OR 47

Ffos Las · Bridge Llangennech Open Daily Amateur Jockeys' Handicap · 1m 2f

#2

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

26%

Place Prob

22%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Caused 66/1 shock over 1m at Southwell in January. Went as close as she has since in classified event at Lingfield last month and still in form when 1½-length fourth over longer trip there (1½m) next time. Never able to land a blow back over 1¼m last week and now switches to turf.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength43%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Southwell 06/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 52 · 1m13y Std 132 · beat its mark06/01/2026 · OR 52 par6/016OR 526 @ Southwell 20/01/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 54 · 1m13y Std 134 · below its mark20/01/2026 · OR 54 par6 @ Kempton 02/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 54 · 1m Sta 134 · beat its mark02/03/2026 · OR 54 par2/036OR 546 @ Nottingham 04/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 53 · 1m2f50y Goo 123 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 53 par6 @ Yarmouth 28/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 52 · 1m2f23y GF 127 · beat its mark28/07/2026 · OR 52 par28/076OR 526 @ Lingfield 18/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 50 · 1m4f Std 135 · beat its mark18/08/2026 · OR 50 par6 @ Lingfield 27/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR 49 · 1m2f Std 135 · beat its mark27/08/2026 · OR 49 par27/086OR 496 @ Lingfield 10/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 49 · 1m4f Std 131 · beat its mark10/09/2026 · OR 49 par6 @ Newcastle 19/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 48 · 1m2f42y Std 128 · beat its mark19/09/2026 · OR 48 par19/096OR 48projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-19Newcastle65th5th0
2026-09-10Lingfield64th4th0
2026-08-27Lingfield62nd2nd0
2026-08-18Lingfield65th5th0
2026-07-28Yarmouth64th4th0
2026-07-04Nottingham64th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/014/0727/0819/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength47%

Delivery trend -6.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/01/20261st66/10%100%+1.00
20/01/202611th10/147%9%-0.38
02/03/20267th12/137%14%-0.23
04/07/20264th25/10%57%+0.57
28/07/20264th11/142%40%-0.02
18/08/20265th11/486%56%-0.30
27/08/20262nd11/271%92%+0.21
10/09/20264th3/184%63%-0.22
19/09/20265th11/271%60%-0.11