7
Case Law
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 67
Gulfstream · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength89%
Delivery trend +15.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/06/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 20% | -0.46 |
| 03/07/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 13% | -0.24 |
| 26/07/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 23/08/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |