10
Cousin Vinny
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 51
Gulfstream · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 7.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength65%
Delivery trend +5.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/02/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 13/03/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/05/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 12/06/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/06/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 12/07/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/08/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 17/08/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |