3
Flying Ash
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 55
Gulfstream · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Gulfstream | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-09-14 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend +0.2% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/2025 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 13% | -0.14 |
| 26/07/2025 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 22% | -0.30 |
| 16/08/2025 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 14/09/2025 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 29% | -0.40 |
| 18/10/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/06/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 20/06/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 17% | -0.41 |
| 01/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 29/08/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |