6
Numinous
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 60
Gulfstream · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#10
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/02/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/04/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 71% | +0.14 |
| 02/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 30/05/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 13/06/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 04/07/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 02/08/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 20% | -0.56 |
| 24/08/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 06/09/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |