Wheelhouse
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 77
Gulfstream · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
57%
Place Prob
45%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-03-01 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-01-30 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -8.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 14/11/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |
| 12/12/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 30/01/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |
| 01/03/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 17% | -0.31 |
| 27/03/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 43% | -0.10 |
| 14/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |
| 10/08/2026 | 3rd | 4/9 | 98% | 33% | -0.64 |
| 29/08/2026 | 3rd | 6/5 | 94% | 67% | -0.27 |