6

Anna Jean
4yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 69
Gulfstream · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength21%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-11 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-21 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-08 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 5-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -6.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/12/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 64% | +0.16 |
| 02/01/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 89% | +0.42 |
| 24/01/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 08/02/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 89% | +0.52 |
| 21/02/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 71% | -0.17 |
| 11/03/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 44% | -0.32 |
| 27/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |
| 29/04/2026 | 5th | 6/4 | 92% | 20% | -0.72 |
| 12/08/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |