7
Oxar
4yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 89
Gulfstream · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
9/5
Win Prob
87%
Place Prob
58%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength41%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-04-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-22 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength67%
Delivery trend -5.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 27/12/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 23/01/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 22/02/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 20/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |
| 17/04/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 20% | -0.46 |
| 11/07/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 38% | +0.01 |
| 03/08/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 13/09/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |