5

Slewty Princess

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 75

Gulfstream · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 110y

#2

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

6%

Place Prob

15%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength52%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Gulfstream 19/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 67 · 1m 120 · below its mark19/09/2025 · OR 67 par19/09C9OR 67C9 @ Gulfstream 18/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 70 · 1m70y Fas 120 · beat its mark18/10/2025 · OR 70 parC7 @ Gulfstream 22/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 75 · 1m70y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark22/02/2026 · OR 75 par22/02C7OR 75C7 @ Gulfstream 20/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 74 · 1m110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/03/2026 · OR 74 parC7 @ Gulfstream 18/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 79 · 1m70y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/04/2026 · OR 79 par18/04C7OR 79C8 @ Gulfstream 23/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 84 · 1m70y 121 · below its mark23/05/2026 · OR 84 parC5 @ Gulfstream 12/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 81 · 1m70y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark12/06/2026 · OR 81 par12/06C5OR 81C5 @ Gulfstream 12/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 88 · 1m Gd 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark12/07/2026 · OR 88 parC8 @ Gulfstream 01/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 77 · 1m70y 122 · below its mark01/08/2026 · OR 77 par1/08C8OR 77projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-01Gulfstream?4th4th0
2026-07-12Gulfstream?8th5th+3
2026-06-12Gulfstream?6th3rd+3
2026-05-23Gulfstream?2nd2nd0
2026-04-18Gulfstream?1st0th+1
2026-03-20Gulfstream?2nd1st+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0920/0312/061/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength35%

Delivery trend -4.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/09/20252nd7/282%88%+0.06
18/10/20251st2/189%100%+0.11
22/02/20264th5/493%40%-0.53
20/03/20262nd10/382%86%+0.03
18/04/20261st4/797%100%+0.03
23/05/20262nd1/195%83%-0.11
12/06/20266th6/168%17%-0.52
12/07/20268th40/10%13%+0.13
01/08/20264th5/287%25%-0.62