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4

Evanora

5yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 77

Gulfstream · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f

#4

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength32%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Gulfstream 30/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 80 · 6f110y Fas 121 · below its mark30/01/2026 · OR 80 par30/01C8OR 80C8 @ Gulfstream 12/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 74 · 5f110y Fas 121 · below its mark12/04/2026 · OR 74 parC8 @ Gulfstream 03/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 78 · 6f Slo 121 · below its mark03/05/2026 · OR 78 par3/05C8OR 78C8 @ Gulfstream 19/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 75 · 1m70y 126 · below its mark19/06/2026 · OR 75 parC8 @ Gulfstream 27/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 74 · 6f110y Fas 124 · beat its mark27/06/2026 · OR 74 par27/06C8OR 74C5 @ Gulfstream 25/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 74 · 6f 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 74 parC5 @ Gulfstream 22/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 74 · 6f110y Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 74 par22/08C5OR 74C8 @ Gulfstream 30/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 73 · 6f Gd 125 · below its mark30/08/2026 · OR 73 parC5 @ Gulfstream 18/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 73 · 6f Slo 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/09/2026 · OR 73 par18/09C5OR 73projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-18Gulfstream?3rd1st+2
2026-08-30Gulfstream?3rd4th−1
2026-08-22Gulfstream?3rd1st+2
2026-07-25Gulfstream?5th3rd+2
2026-06-27Gulfstream?1st2nd−1
2026-06-19Gulfstream?7th8th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0119/0622/0818/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +10.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/01/20264th15/261%0%-0.61
12/04/20262nd5/174%80%+0.06
03/05/20262nd5/287%75%-0.12
19/06/20267th11/271%14%-0.57
27/06/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
25/07/20265th12/137%43%+0.06
22/08/20263rd16/116%71%+0.56
30/08/20263rd5/174%60%-0.14
18/09/20263rd20/10%67%+0.67