7
Fully Entitled
5yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 78
Gulfstream · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
82%
Place Prob
57%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 2.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-09 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-04 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-04-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-03 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength62%
Delivery trend +0.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10/2025 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 80% | -0.14 |
| 21/11/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 28/12/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 83% | -0.06 |
| 03/04/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 86% | -0.04 |
| 19/04/2026 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 06/06/2026 | 3rd | 4/7 | 97% | 67% | -0.30 |
| 04/07/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 17% | -0.57 |
| 09/08/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 29/08/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |