3
Mo Hijinx
3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 80
Gulfstream · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-08-09 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-07-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-05-22 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-04-16 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength54%
Delivery trend +3.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/2025 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 33% | -0.55 |
| 03/01/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |
| 23/01/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 19/03/2026 | 6th | 11/8 | 93% | 17% | -0.76 |
| 16/04/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 22/05/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 26/07/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 33% | -0.27 |
| 09/08/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 40% | -0.28 |
| 30/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |