2

Sweet Agenda
3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 79
Gulfstream · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
7/5
Win Prob
11%
Place Prob
21%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-08-30 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-09 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-07 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-30 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +4.6% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 17% | -0.36 |
| 14/09/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 08/05/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 30/05/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 14% | -0.38 |
| 07/06/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 89% | +0.52 |
| 20/07/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 09/08/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 30/08/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 11/09/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 75% | -0.16 |