Cryingintherain

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 74

Gulfstream · Race 5 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f

#10

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark

Move▼1

Strength46%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 4

Recent avg: C4.8

Today:

Class gap: +0.8

Higher-class runs: 4

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-04-08	Kempton	4	4th	2nd	+2	7.8
2025-12-31	Lingfield	5	1st	0th	+1	9.6
2025-12-17	Lingfield	5	5th	4th	+1	5.6
2025-10-23	Southwell	5	8th	7th	+1	2.6

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%

▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price

Trend▲

Strength100%

Delivery trend +37.8% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
23/10/2025	8th	2/1	89%	22%	-0.67
17/12/2025	5th	2/1	89%	43%	-0.47
31/12/2025	1st	16/1	16%	100%	+0.84
08/04/2026	4th	11/1	42%	57%	+0.15