3
Laila Bella Girl
5yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 87
Gulfstream · Race 5 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f
#5
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-12-18 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-08 | Gulfstream | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-10-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength74%
Delivery trend +0.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/2025 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 29% | -0.29 |
| 18/07/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 80% | +0.19 |
| 03/09/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 05/10/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 83% | +0.68 |
| 08/11/2025 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 18/12/2025 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 03/07/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 03/08/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 57% | -0.14 |
| 31/08/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |