Chalky White
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 76
Gulfstream · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2025-11-28 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2025-10-11 | Delaware Park | ? | 7th | 3rd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -8.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 20/08/2025 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 07/09/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 11/10/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 28/11/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 12/02/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 13% | -0.24 |
| 19/02/2026 | 7th | 3/1 | 84% | 14% | -0.70 |
| 27/07/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 17% | -0.60 |
| 17/08/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |