David Pepperman
3yo Colt · 8-10 · OR 76
Gulfstream · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-03-29 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 89% | +0.05 |
| 15/02/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 06/03/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 29/03/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 24/04/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/06/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 20% | -0.41 |
| 19/06/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 03/07/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |
| 05/09/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |