9
Sky Masterson
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 75
Gulfstream · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-28 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-11 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-12-31 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength12%
Delivery trend -8.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 15/10/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 28/11/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 31/12/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 11/02/2026 | 8th | 9/4 | 88% | 22% | -0.66 |
| 28/02/2026 | 7th | 5/2 | 87% | 33% | -0.54 |
| 13/03/2026 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 22% | -0.54 |
| 25/04/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 04/09/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 71% | -0.02 |