6
Sponge Time
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 62
Gulfstream · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Gulfstream | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength36%
Delivery trend +5.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/11/2025 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 01/03/2026 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/03/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 08/04/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 16/05/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/06/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 21/06/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 15/08/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 04/09/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |