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7

Alinao Forever

4yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 97

Gulfstream · Race 7 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m

#2

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

29%

Place Prob

28%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Gulfstream 06/12/2024 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 90 · 1m Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/12/2024 · OR 90 par6/12C6OR 90C5 @ Gulfstream 06/02/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 93 · 1m110y Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/02/2025 · OR 93 parC5 @ Gulfstream 13/03/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 90 · 1m1f Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/03/2025 · OR 90 par13/03C5OR 90C5 @ Gulfstream 11/04/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 93 · 1m70y Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/04/2025 · OR 93 parC8 @ Gulfstream 05/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 91 · 1m70y 120 · below its mark05/09/2025 · OR 91 par5/09C8OR 91C8 @ Gulfstream 03/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 87 · 1m70y 123 · beat its mark03/04/2026 · OR 87 parC8 @ Gulfstream 17/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 88 · 1m110y 126 · below its mark17/05/2026 · OR 88 par17/05C8OR 88C8 @ Gulfstream 20/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 85 · 1m70y 126 · below its mark20/06/2026 · OR 85 parC8 @ Gulfstream 12/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 84 · 1m70y Fas 123 · beat its mark12/09/2026 · OR 84 par12/09C8OR 84projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Gulfstream?1st2nd−1
2026-06-20Gulfstream?3rd4th−1
2026-05-17Gulfstream?4th5th−1
2026-04-03Gulfstream?1st2nd−1
2025-09-05Gulfstream?6th7th−1
2025-04-11Gulfstream?7th5th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/1211/0417/0512/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 7-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -7.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/12/20244th25/10%57%+0.57
06/02/20255th20/10%33%+0.33
13/03/20254th25/10%40%+0.40
11/04/20257th8/158%0%-0.58
05/09/20256th11/1094%0%-0.94
03/04/20261st5/287%100%+0.13
17/05/20264th8/1597%40%-0.57
20/06/20263rd8/1597%50%-0.47
12/09/20261st6/168%100%+0.32