1
Gold Foot
5yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 106
Gulfstream · Race 7 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Del Mar | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Del Mar | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Del Mar | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-06-14 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-05-22 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-03-28 | Turfway Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength71%
Delivery trend -0.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/01/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 91% | +0.17 |
| 08/02/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 06/03/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |
| 28/03/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 43% | -0.31 |
| 22/05/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 14/06/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |
| 20/07/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 55% | +0.02 |
| 08/08/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 89% | +0.10 |
| 29/08/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 86% | -0.04 |