6
Navy Cross
6yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 96
Gulfstream · Race 7 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
53%
Place Prob
37%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-03 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-13 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-04-16 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-03-29 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength82%
Delivery trend +4.2% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 67% | -0.21 |
| 17/01/2026 | 4th | 6/4 | 92% | 73% | -0.19 |
| 05/03/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 33% | -0.54 |
| 29/03/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 16/04/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 20/06/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 13/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 89% | +0.10 |
| 03/08/2026 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 24/08/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |