2

Quizler

4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 105

Gulfstream · Race 7 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m

#3

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

13%

Place Prob

18%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength32%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Gulfstream 11/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 102 · 1m110y Fas 118 · below its mark11/12/2025 · OR 102 par11/12C8OR 102C6 @ Gulfstream 08/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 98 · 5f Fm 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/01/2026 · OR 98 parC8 @ Gulfstream 15/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 93 · 5f110y 125 · below its mark15/02/2026 · OR 93 par15/02C8OR 93C6 @ Gulfstream 27/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 97 · 7f110y Fm 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/03/2026 · OR 97 parC6 @ Gulfstream 04/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 94 · 5f Gd 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark04/04/2026 · OR 94 par4/04C6OR 94C6 @ Gulfstream 25/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 93 · 1m110y Fm 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/04/2026 · OR 93 parC8 @ Gulfstream 06/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 98 · 5f110y Fas 123 · below its mark06/06/2026 · OR 98 par6/06C8OR 98C7 @ Gulfstream 01/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 101 · 1m Fm 124 · below its mark01/08/2026 · OR 101 parC7 @ Gulfstream 17/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 106 · 1m Fm 121 · beat its mark17/08/2026 · OR 106 par17/08C7OR 106projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-17Gulfstream?1st1st0
2026-08-01Gulfstream?2nd2nd0
2026-06-06Gulfstream?7th8th−1
2026-04-25Gulfstream?6th5th+1
2026-04-04Gulfstream?5th4th+1
2026-03-27Gulfstream?1st0th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/1227/036/0617/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength72%

Delivery trend +0.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/12/20256th5/174%29%-0.45
08/01/20261st9/153%100%+0.47
15/02/20266th8/158%29%-0.29
27/03/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
04/04/20265th11/486%43%-0.43
25/04/20266th12/137%38%+0.01
06/06/20267th4/179%33%-0.46
01/08/20262nd4/179%80%+0.01
17/08/20261st5/696%100%+0.04