8
Shinigami
4yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 85
Gulfstream · Race 7 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Colonial Downs | ? | 10th | 8th | +2 |
| 2026-06-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-16 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-03-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-12-13 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength45%
Delivery trend +0.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 24/10/2025 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 21/11/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 13/12/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 05/03/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 16/04/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 16/05/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 19/06/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 13/08/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |