5
War Warrior
4yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 89
Gulfstream · Race 7 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-27 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-03-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-07-11 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength74%
Delivery trend +3.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11/2024 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 70% | -0.12 |
| 15/02/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |
| 12/03/2025 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 50% | -0.39 |
| 11/07/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 88% | +0.09 |
| 05/03/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 12/06/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 27/06/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 09/08/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 11/09/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |