4
Prost
3yo Colt · 8-8 · OR 92
Gulfstream · Race 9 - Allowance · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2025-11-29 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-10-11 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength39%
Delivery trend -1.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 29/11/2025 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 20/07/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 57% | -0.27 |
| 15/08/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 11/09/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 60% | -0.27 |