8
Souper Attentive
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 93
Gulfstream · Race 9 - Allowance · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
71%
Place Prob
48%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength22%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.9
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-02-20 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-01-29 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength80%
Delivery trend +0.6% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 90% | +0.11 |
| 11/09/2025 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 86% | -0.06 |
| 01/01/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 29/01/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 14% | -0.57 |
| 20/02/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 89% | +0.07 |
| 04/04/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 24/04/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 18/07/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 08/08/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |