Won For Lou
3yo Colt · 8-8 · OR 94
Gulfstream · Race 9 - Allowance · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-04-18 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-03-29 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-03-08 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-01-25 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-11-28 | Del Mar | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09/2025 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 05/10/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/11/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |
| 28/11/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 20% | -0.51 |
| 25/01/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 08/03/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 29/03/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 18/04/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/08/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |