Archimedes
3yo Colt · 8-10 · OR 77
Laurel Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Monmouth Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Churchill Downs | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-04-19 | Keeneland | ? | 11th | 7th | +3 |
| 2026-02-01 | Fair Grounds | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10/2025 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/11/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 03/01/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 75% | -0.13 |
| 01/02/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 19/04/2026 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 05/06/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 13% | -0.24 |
| 27/06/2026 | 6th | 15/8 | 90% | 0% | -0.90 |
| 26/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 86% | -0.01 |
| 14/08/2026 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |