10

Benny Havens

9yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 84

Laurel Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f 110y

#9

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength54%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 6 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: +2.3
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Laurel Park 25/04/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 94 · 5f110y Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/04/2025 · OR 94 par25/04C5OR 94C5 @ Pimlico 10/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 92 · 5f Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/05/2025 · OR 92 parC5 @ Laurel Park 14/06/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 91 · 5f110y Fm 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/06/2025 · OR 91 par14/06C5OR 91C5 @ Colonial Downs 08/08/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 93 · 5f110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/08/2025 · OR 93 parC5 @ Laurel Park 12/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 92 · 6f Gd 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark12/09/2025 · OR 92 par12/09C5OR 92C5 @ Laurel Park 07/11/2025 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 92 · 5f110y Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/11/2025 · OR 92 parC7 @ Laurel Park 27/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 90 · 5f110y Gd 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/11/2025 · OR 90 par27/11C7OR 90C5 @ Laurel Park 15/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 90 · 5f110y Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/05/2026 · OR 90 parC5 @ Laurel Park 07/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 88 · 5f110y Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/06/2026 · OR 88 par7/06C5OR 88projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-07Laurel Park?9th6th+3
2026-05-15Laurel Park?7th4th+3
2025-11-27Laurel Park?6th5th+1
2025-11-07Laurel Park?10th7th+3
2025-09-12Laurel Park?5th2nd+3
2025-08-08Colonial Downs?8th5th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/048/0827/117/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 7-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength22%

Delivery trend -2.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/04/20255th10/147%60%+0.13
10/05/20251st16/116%100%+0.84
14/06/20254th14/126%67%+0.40
08/08/20258th33/10%30%+0.30
12/09/20255th16/116%43%+0.27
07/11/202510th25/10%18%+0.18
27/11/20256th25/10%38%+0.38
15/05/20267th50/10%33%+0.33
07/06/20269th40/10%20%+0.20